국문초록
□ 미래예견적 방법과 실제
○ Anticipatory governance 정의
- 예방적 조치(preventive measure)
- 전략(strategy)
- 제도, 법 및 규범으로 구성된 시스템
- 의사결정의 新모델(new model)
○ 선찰과 정책의 통합(Foresight and policy integration)
- Foresight 시스템을 조직하기(Organizing a Foresight System)
- Foresight와 정책을 연결하기(Brokering Between Foresight and Policy)
- Foresight에 인센티브 부여하기(Incentivizing Foresight)
- 전문가에게 Foresight 교육하기(Training Professionals for Foresight)
○ 네트워크 기반 거버넌스(Networked Governance)
- 네트워크 기반 거버넌스(networked governance) 구조는 정보의 빠른 흐름을 가능하게 하여 좀 더 영리하고, 선견지명이 있는 관료체계의 기반으로 가능
- 네트워크 기반 거버넌스에서는 지시자(commander)의 의도에 맞춘 임무에 따른 관리(management-to-mission)와 임무에 따른 예산(budgeting-to-mission)을 실현하게 하는 전략적 행동이 가능
○ 응용학습을 위한 피드백(Feedback for Applied Learning)
- 피드백은 행동을 조정하기 위해 정보를 활용하는 과정
- 너무 늦게 발견되는 시스템의 실패나 고장을 미연에 방지하기 위해 현재 진행 중인 정책에 대한 평가나 재평가, 재보정의 근거로 피드백 활용이 가능
- 정책프로세스에서는 ① 정책의 모니터링과 조정을 위한 피드백, ② 책임과 제어, 자기 동기화를 위한 피드백(네트워크 기반 시스템에서 책임과 통제를 유지하기 위해 활용), ③ 학습을위한 피드백(신속한 자기학습과 진화를 위해 활용) 등을 활용
<이하 원문 확인>
목차
제1장 문제 제기
제1절 연구의 배경 및 목적 ····················································································· 3
제2절 연구의 주요 내용 및 방법 ··········································································· 7
제3절 본 연구의 구성 틀 ······················································································ 12
■참고문헌 ·························································································································15
제2장 주요 이슈의 이론적 검토
제1절 Anticipatory Governance 배경 및 정의 ··············································· 17
제2절 정부혁신에 관한 이론적 논의 ··································································· 40
■참고문헌 ·························································································································43
제3장 미래연구의 방법과 과정
제1절 미래예견적 접근의 논리구조와 방법 ························································· 45
제2절 선찰(Foresight)의 과정과 방법 ································································ 49
제3절 미래 환경변화와 미래로부터의 도전 ························································ 74
■참고문헌 ·······················································································································115
제4장 해외 미래예견적 국정관리의 실태분석
제1절 OECD ········································································································· 121
제2절 EU(유럽연합) ····························································································· 130
제3절 핀란드 ········································································································ 143
제4절 스웨덴 ········································································································· 161
제5절 독일 ············································································································ 172
제6절 스위스 ········································································································ 184
제7절 호주 ············································································································ 196
제8절 싱가포르 ····································································································· 217
제9절 미국 ············································································································ 228
제10절 영국 ·········································································································· 234
제11절 일본 ·········································································································· 247
제12절 중국 ·········································································································· 260
■참고문헌 ·······················································································································285
제5장 미래예견적 관점에서 본 우리나라 국정관리
제1절 미래예견적 국정도입 관리의 필요성 ······················································ 297
제2절 데이터로 본 우리나라 미래예견적 국정관리 현황 ································ 313
제3절 우리나라 역대정부의 미래예견적 거버넌스에 대한 성찰 ···················· 390
제4절 우리나라 미래예견적 국정관리에 대한 SWOT 분석 ··························· 439
■참고문헌 ·······················································································································449
제6장 우리나라 미래예견적 국정관리의 방향
제1절 우리나라 미래예견적 국정관리 관점 및 차원 ······································· 455
제2절 국가와 사회 차원 ····················································································· 460
제3절 국가기구 ···································································································· 520
제4절 중앙-지방 차원 ························································································· 557
제5절 미래예견적 국정관리의 방향 ··································································· 585
■참고문헌 ·······················································································································606
제7장 우리나라의 미래예견적 국정관리를 위한 정부혁신
제1절 미래예견적 정부혁신을 위한 데이터 기반정책 ······································ 615
제2절 시민이 주도하는 미래 형성과 정책과정 혁신 ······································· 632
제3절 미래예견적 정부조직구조 혁신 ······························································· 649
제4절 미래예견적 공직리더십과 인사 혁신 ······················································ 668
제5절 데이터 기반의 미래예견시스템 혁신 ······················································ 682
■참고문헌 ·······················································································································700
제8장 주요 분야별 미래예견적 국정관리 적용 방안
제1절 서론 ············································································································ 705
제2절 위기/재난 분야 ························································································· 707
제3절 에너지/환경 분야 ······················································································ 721
제4절 저성장/양극화 분야 ·················································································· 742
제5절 사회통합/갈등 분야 ·················································································· 758
제6절 저출산/고령화 분야 ·················································································· 790
제7절 외교/안보 분야 ·························································································· 810
제8절 결론 및 시사점 ························································································· 827
■참고문헌 ·······················································································································833
제9장 결론
제1절 요약 ············································································································ 841
제2절 정책제언 ···································································································· 853
■부록 ······························································································································862
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